A look at the Errol Spence Tim Tszyu break down of how we think the fight may go in terms of action in the ring.
It is a high standard fight without doubt.
To put Spence into a fight like this after a layoff takes some guts.
Intriguing. Very well.
How will the fight go? Here’s how we think it will.
ow Spence vs Tszyu Plays Out
- Ring rust is real: Spence will be 36 with a 3.5-year layoff since the Crawford TKO. Timing and reflexes start slow.
- First 2 rounds go to Tszyu: He’s active, younger at 31, and will bank rounds while Spence shakes off rust.
- Spence’s size at 154 helps: No brutal 147 cut means better punch resistance and energy than his last few welterweight camps.
- Jab is the key: If Spence’s southpaw jab returns early, he controls range. If it’s slow, Tszyu walks him down.
- Tszyu’s pressure works early: He thrives on forward motion and volume. Expect 60+ punches/round from him R1-R4.
- Body work decides the middle rounds: Spence was an elite body puncher pre-layoff. If that’s back by R5-R6, momentum shifts.
- Chin questions for both: Spence was stopped by Crawford. Tszyu was dropped and cut badly by Fundora. Neither wants a shootout.
- Spence’s power carries better at 154: He’s not draining to 147 anymore. His shots sit down more at this weight.
- Layoff shows in R7-R9: Spence’s legs and output historically fade late after inactivity. Tszyu’s youth edge shows here.
- Spence can’t afford to start slow: Giving away 3-4 early rounds + 3.5 years off makes a decision win very hard.
- Most likely finish: Spence by late TKO R9-R11 if timing returns, or Tszyu by decision if Spence can’t pull the trigger.
- Pick: If Spence looks 80% of 2019-2022 version, he stops Tszyu late. If ring rust lasts past R6, Tszyu outworks him to a 115-113 type decision/split decision/close win on UD. Possibly. But anything can happen.
A great fight awaits possibly.
Here’s more info as well on the Errol Spence vs Tim Tszyu fight deal.
Roll on the build-up and fight.
